Cooperation among Japan, South Korea and China which incorporates -
China into the Tokyo-Seoul relationship is being looked at closely. This -
cooperation undoubtedly provides a diagram for a new post-Cold War
conciliation, and as a framework it has much potential.
The first three-nation summit was held in the fall of 1999 during the
ASEAN summit in Manila. China was wary at first. The Japanese and South
Korean leaders said they wanted to continue to meet in the future, but
Premier Zhu Rongji was unsupportive and Vice Premier Qian Qichen
responded that, "the conditions for establishing a trilateral relationship are not
ripe."
At the Japan-South Korea-China summit in Singapore in November 2000,
however, consensus was reached on holding regularly scheduled meetings.
Premier Zhu also proposed making the year 2002 "a year of exchanges
between Japan, South Korea and China."
South Korea is the most enthusiastic of the three with regard to this
framework.
It has to find a way out from two relationships where a perception of
balance of power predominates. The first is the U.S.-China relationship and
the second is the Japan-China relationship. Because the balance in both these
relationships is vital to South Korea's security and economic strategy, a
"Japan-South Korea-China" framework is an important step.
As it deepens its cooperation with South Korea, Japan is looking for a way
to start a new dialogue in its awkward relationship with China.
For its part, China's economic strategy for after it is admitted to the WTO
lies behind its new emphasis on multilateral negotiations. China is seen as
wanting to engage in numerous negotiations minus the United States in order
to weaken American unilateralism.
The development of this framework in the Japan-South Korea-Chinarelationship will not be easy because the motivations are not the same, the
political systems are different and the issue of historical perceptions is
present.
First, the framework will need to be gradually developed through whatever
level of cooperation can be achieved. Environmental issues may prove to be
a useful catalyst for such cooperation.
A trilateral environmental summit was started in 1999, and cooperative
efforts on measures to prevent acid rain and on water issues are making
progress. South Korea has floated a plan for a joint environmental project in
China using overseas development aid from both Japan and South Korea.
The economy is also an important area. Cooperation on globalization and the
opening of markets must be promoted between the three countries, with
Japan and South Korea taking the lead.
If one considers what area of cooperation has intrinsic merit, it is surely in
the security realm. It would be a great contribution to the stability of the
region if the basis of cooperation is strengthened through Japanese and
Chinese support of Korean co-existence and reunification, and through
China's and South Korea's support of the normalization of Japan-North Korea
relations.
Yet this is a territory into which it will be difficult for China to tread.
North Korea is its ally from the Korean War. In the words of a Chinese
political scholar, "(China) will not be able to exercise independent influence
over North Korea if (North Korea) ends up getting along with Japan and
South Korea."
If one considers this, the Japan-South Korea-China framework needs to be
an open system that has the eventual participation of North Korea in sight.
This will give it an even more important role in the reunification process on
the Korean Peninsula.